On the one hand, the early Hayek, Mises, Kirzner, and Rothbard see markets as having a real tendency to equilibrium states (whether defined as some Walrasian general equilibrium state in Hayek’s pre-1937 work, Hayek’s “plan coordination” after 1937, Mises’s “final state of rest”, or Rothbard’s evenly rotating economy [ERE]).
From 1937, Hayek redefined equilibrium from the notion of a set of market clearing prices to the new concept of “plan coordination,” a situation where individual plans are coordinated (Vaughn 1994: 169). This state of affairs means that an economy might be on a path toward a type of equilibrium without all markets having to clear (Vaughn 1994: 169). Hayek’s notion of plan coordination was taken up and used by Kirzner, Lavoie, Garrison and other later Austrians (Vaughn 1994: 169; O’Driscoll and Rizzo 1996: 80). Indeed, according to Charles W. Baird (1987: 197), “Hayekian equilibrium” or “plan coordination” is “the notion that most Austrians consider useful.”
Furthermore, Hayek’s work on the Austrian trade cycle theory (pre-1937) was done when he was using Walrasian general equilibrium theory, and, as I have demonstrated in the previous post, once Hayek saw the problems with general equilibrium theory the difficulties in his business cycle theory became insuperable.
And one can’t help but notice that, in Hayek’s later statements and thought, he does not entirely dispense with the idea of market clearing equilibrium prices as an explanation of unemployment either. In a talk to the American Enterprise Institute in Washington DC on April 9, 1975 Hayek sounds like a neoclassical:
“These discrepancies of demand and supply in different industries, discrepancies between the distribution of demand and the allocation of the factors of production, are in the last analysis due to some distortion in the price system that has directed resources to false uses. It can be corrected only by making sure, first, that prices achieve what, somewhat misleadingly, we call an equilibrium structure, and second, that labor is reallocated according to these new prices.This demonstrates that, despite his 1937 notion of “plan coordination,” Hayek was still capable of reverting to neoclassical equilibrium ideas as late as 1975.
Lacking such price readjustment and resource reallocation, the original unemployment may then spread by means of the mechanism I have discussed before, the “secondary contraction,” as I used to call it. In this way, unemployment may eventually become general.
The primary cause of the appearance of extensive unemployment, however, is a deviation of the actual structure of prices and wages from its equilibrium structure. Remember, please: that is the crucial concept. The point I want to make is that this equilibrium structure of prices is something which we cannot know beforehand because the only way to discover it is to give the market free play; by definition, therefore, the divergence of actual prices from the equilibrium structure is something that can never be statistically measured.” (Hayek 1975: 6–7).
The stream of Austrian economics that asserts the idea of a tendency to equilibrium may well be more a supplement to neoclassical economics than a replacement (Vaughn 1994: 166). For example, Kirzner’s entrepreneurial theory is one method by which Austrians can posit a real world tendency to market coordination.
Occupying an intermediate position are Rizzo and O’Driscoll. They rejected even Hayek’s “plan coordination” idea (which they saw as just another type of static equilibrium concept: O’Driscoll and Rizzo 1996: 80–82). Instead, Rizzo and O’Driscoll argue that markets have a tendency to “pattern coordination,” a weaker concept of economic coordination which consists merely of some degree of order in which individual actions “are coordinated with respect to their typical features, even if their unique aspects fail to mesh” (O’Driscoll and Rizzo 1996: 85).
On the other side of the Austrian school are Ludwig Lachmann and those influenced by him. Vaughn argues that Lachmann thought that markets are subject to both disequilibrating and equilibrating tendencies, but took no position on exactly what tendency dominates the market system (Vaughn 1994: 160; see also Prychitko 1993: 375). Prychitko holds that there is no a priori basis on which to assert that markets tend to equilibrium states (Prychitko 1993: 375).
Whether there is an inherent tendency to disequilibrium is a different question, of course.
Even a Post Keynesian economist like Paul Davidson does not argue that free market economies are inherently disequilibrating (Davidson 1993: 436). Rather, Post Keynesians argue that there is nothing in market systems that ensure that the economy will converge automatically to full employment equilibrium (Davidson 1993: 436). For Keynes, the most serious flaws in capitalism were as follows:
“The outstanding faults of the economic society in which we live are its failure to provide for full employment and its arbitrary and inequitable distribution of wealth and incomes.” (Keynes 1936: 372).
Baird, Charles W. 1987. “The Economics of Time and Ignorance: A Review,” The Review of Austrian Economics 1.1: 189–206.
Davidson, P. 1993. “Austrians and Post Keynesians on Economic Reality: Rejoinder to Critics,” Critical Review 7.2–3: 423–444.
Hayek, Friedrich A. von. 1975. A Discussion with Friedrich A. von Hayek. American Enterprise Institute, Washington.
Keynes, J. M. 1936. The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. Macmillan, London.
Lewin, Peter. 1999. Capital in Disequilibrium: The Role of Capital in a Changing World. Routledge, London.
O’Driscoll, G. P. and M. J. Rizzo. 1996. The Economics of Time and Ignorance (2nd edn.). Routledge, Oxford, UK.
Prychitko, D. 1993. “After Davidson, Who needs the Austrians: Reply to Davidson,” Critical Review 7.2–3: 371–380.
Vaughn, K. I. 1994. Austrian Economics in America: The Migration of a Tradition. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York.
It's like saying the outstanding fault of evolution is its inability to provide food for all creatures and its inherent tendency to evolve new species.ReplyDelete
Creatures must act to feed themselves.
Variety and difference in ability is a feature not a bug.
Humans have extraordinary abilities well beyond any animal they evolved from but we are still animals with limitations and should behave accordingly.
Equilibrium is an idea that obfuscates what is really happening. People act on needs wants desires and incentives. They do not seek equilibrium. As Mises said its a useful concept for understanding but in the real world must be immediately discarded.
In a Keynsian system taking from one to give to another is thought acceptable but in a Misesian one it's called theft.
"As Mises said its a useful concept for understanding but in the real world must be immediately discarded."Delete
Yes, Mises did not think his "final state of rest" equilibrium would ever exist in the real world, but nevertheless did believe in a real world market tendency towards the "final state of rest":
It is not true at all to say that Mises thought equilibrium theory "must be immediately discarded" in the real world.
Keep in mind Walras also didn't believe that equilibrium was an actual state, nevertheless what makes him an equilibrium economist is the fact that he believed it was a useful tool when explaining the economy, primarily because he, like all equilibrium economists after him, believed that there was simply a tendency towards equilibrium without it actually getting to equilibrium. The vast majority of economists think like this including a vast majority if AustriansDelete
"It's like saying the outstanding fault of evolution is its inability to provide food for all creatures and its inherent tendency to evolve new species."Delete
Why do Austrians insist on reasoning backwards from our current historical situation and asserting that it must be somehow natural?
What gets me about this is quite how much Marx has you under his thumb, even though you are often ready to dismiss him outright.
Jan said:As a Swede it always amaze me that those Mises,Hayek,Rothbard etc. claim they rely on the progressive Swedish economist Knut Wicksell´s work and cumulative process,but get him backwards and destort his work on almost everything from natural rate to equilibrium (that Wicksell rejected alongside with gold standard and was forerunner to MMT).Knut Wicksell started the Stockholm School of economics and his adepts like Gunnar Myrdal,Bertil Ohlin,Erik Lindahl etc. came to almost same conclusion as Keynes independently at same time as he.I know Hayek critised Keynes and had the audicity to claim that Keynes,also inspired by Wicksell,didn´t understood Wicksell.And it somewhat amazing that Hayek got so mezzed up in his work by "uncertainty",since Rosenstein-Rodan introduced him to the work of Stockholm school on this topic,mainly done by Gunnar Myrdal.Delete
Totally disagree. Hyman Minsky made a very strong Post-Keynesian case why the economy would generate disequilibrium in financial markets. In fact,he suggests that tranquil states are the cause of disequilibrium.ReplyDelete
Joan Robinson and Nicholas Kaldor, the two economists I follow in this regard, were very skeptical of the notion of equilibrium. The main references in this regard are Chapter 6 of "The Accumulation of Capital" by Robinson which is entitled "The Meaning of Equilibrium". And Nicky Kaldor's "Economics Without Equilibrium". Both books can only be bought second-hand, unfortunately.