Sunday, March 6, 2016

Bernie Ain’t finished Yet!

Yves Smith explains why:
Yves Smith, “Clinton will build her biggest lead on March 15. Sanders will erode it after that,” Naked Capitalism, March 5, 2016.
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15 comments:

  1. Ken BMarch 6, 2016 at 8:03 AM

    Nonsense. Bernie is toast.
    A bet for you. If Bernie wins I will contribute $5 to Canada's NDP. If he loses you contribute 2 quid to the UK Tory party. We on?

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  2. pithomMarch 6, 2016 at 10:46 AM

    Bernie has no chance:

    https://electionbettingodds.com/

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

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  3. Ken BMarch 10, 2016 at 3:42 PM

    Bernie won the Michigan primary. Hillary got more Michigan delegates. Tough to beat a woman like that.

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    1. Lord KeynesMarch 10, 2016 at 10:04 PM

      The mysteries of the US election season.

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    2. Lord KeynesMarch 10, 2016 at 10:08 PM

      So the current delegate count is about 1,221 for Shillary and 571 for Bernie. Most of Shillary’s lead (458) comes from ... superdelegates.

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    3. Ken BMarch 11, 2016 at 7:57 PM

      The parties are broken in opposite ways. The democrats are an autocratic disciplined machine, the gop are blown about by every passing fancy, with no central core.

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  4. Ken BMarch 12, 2016 at 10:51 AM

    Does Bernie have the moral courage to condemn the riot in his name in Chicago? I'm betting not.

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    1. Lord KeynesMarch 12, 2016 at 11:46 AM

      I would hope he will, Ken B, because that was utterly disgraceful and disgusting.

      I despair of both the left and right. Very disillusioning.

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    2. Lord KeynesMarch 12, 2016 at 11:47 AM

      Sometimes I think Europe will be driven into some kind of fascism again, given how unendingly catastrophic the EU and neoliberalism is there.

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    3. Ken BMarch 12, 2016 at 11:48 AM

      Yup. Cruz has doubled down on sleazy here too.

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    4. Lord KeynesMarch 12, 2016 at 12:18 PM

      Keep your eyes on the German state elections this weekend: Alternative for Germany (AfD) may well win about 10-20% of the vote in 3 states. Actually all quite predictable -- given the migrant crime wave and soaring unpopularity of Merkel's open door. The Turks are supposed to get visa-free travel to Europe by June this year. How will that go down?

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    5. Lord KeynesMarch 12, 2016 at 12:20 PM

      Disaster brewing:
      http://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/03/turkey-is-blackmailing-the-eu/

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    6. Ken BMarch 13, 2016 at 8:49 AM

      I hope the CDU gets 0 votes. Pour encourager les autres.

      You conceding on Bernie and the riots?

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  5. Ken BMarch 12, 2016 at 1:33 PM

    I win. http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/272791-sanders-my-supporters-are-not-to-blame-for-violence-at-trump-rally

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