tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6245381193993153721.post9023191601911441813..comments2024-03-28T17:08:15.784-07:00Comments on Social Democracy for the 21st Century: A Realist Alternative to the Modern Left: An Analysis of Why the Polls were Wrong on TrumpLord Keyneshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06556863604205200159noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6245381193993153721.post-51188448871320233082016-11-20T03:42:19.417-08:002016-11-20T03:42:19.417-08:00You shouldn't forget the 3% Margin of Error fa...You shouldn't forget the 3% Margin of Error factor. Investor' Business Daily called it pretty close, at least in a 2-way race:<br /><br />http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html<br /><br />Clinton after all <i>was</i> ahead in the popular vote. However, polls don't seem to be very well able to predict how the EC will go.Kevinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11890229869783893118noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6245381193993153721.post-25779445363233377212016-11-17T16:01:33.631-08:002016-11-17T16:01:33.631-08:00You can only be spot on or off at the end. And the...You can only be spot on or off at the end. And they weren't, they had Trump up, I think by 5 at the end. The exact count is still undetermined, but Trump was not way ahead in the popular vote.Ken Bhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12976919713907046171noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6245381193993153721.post-28138948375537999032016-11-17T08:19:46.752-08:002016-11-17T08:19:46.752-08:00http://cesrusc.org/election/
The USC/LA Times pol...http://cesrusc.org/election/<br /><br />The USC/LA Times poll was spot-on through the election.Salvernnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6245381193993153721.post-50505766789857562732016-11-16T10:37:34.296-08:002016-11-16T10:37:34.296-08:00No discussion is complete without considering how ...No discussion is complete without considering how people now view pollsters. This skews who responds, and when they respond, how truthfully they do so. I disapprove of pollsters, and our poll driven politics. I think most polls are intended to distort not inform. Thus when I am polled I usually decline to answer and when I do answer I ALWAYS lie. Ken Bhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12976919713907046171noreply@blogger.com